US OIL re-testing 50 MA. Trump's tweet in play?

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The last time OPEC and its partners met, in Vienna in June, they were on the receiving end of a thunderous tweet from US President Donald Trump, warning from across the Atlantic not to let oil prices rise too high.

US West Texas Intermediate crude was up 55 cents, or 0.8 per cent, at $71.67 a barrel, after rising almost 2 per cent the previous session.

Brent crude dropped to $78.62 per barrel, and WTI crude also fell slightly to $70.69 in the wake of Trump's comments. The pipeline capacity expansion-with the Dakota Access Pipeline and the Energy Transfer Crude Oil Pipeline (ETCO)-lifted the share of crude pipeline transportation of the Midwest's total domestic crude oil shipments to 87 percent in June 2018 from 64 percent in June 2015, the EIA said.

While Saudi Arabia and Russian Federation have recently boosted output to compensate, it's unclear whether they're willing or able to offset all the losses from Iran.

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A report last week by the U.S. Energy Information Administration makes this abundantly clear.

The rebound gained steam earlier this year after production problems in countries like Venezuela and Libya caused the group to cut more deeply than they intended.

"We believe OPEC will, at the very least, signal that it plans to do more in light of Venezuela declines and expected impact of U.S. sanctions on Iran exports", Hedgeye senior analyst Joe McMonigle said.

Zanganeh alluded to the decision of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and big non-affiliated producers, to reduce extraction in order to improve fuel prices in the world market.

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The North Sea benchmark has been trading close to $80 a barrel, near its highest for nearly four years, on expectations that United States sanctions against Iran, Opec's third biggest producer, will reduce supply in world markets.

"Whether or not this (price) development was justified, it is a supply-side development and the market has reacted to it", PVM Oil Associates strategist Tamas Varga said, Reuters reported. The agency forecasts an average of 10.7 million barrels per day for 2018, compared with 9.4 million barrels per day previous year, and forecasts an average of 11.5 million barrels per day in 2019.

A new set of United States sanctions is due to hit the Islamic republic's oil industry on November 4.

America has risen to the top the list of oil-producing countries for the first time in more than four decades, analysts believe.

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Saudi Arabia has markedly increased oil exports to America, a sign OPEC's leading producer is responding to pressure from Trump. Although many buyers have scaled back purchases, it is unclear how easily other producers can compensate for any lost supply.

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